Final
NFL • regular season 2025
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
@
NYG
New York Giants
AI Predicted Score
26
-
16
Philadelphia Eagles win by 10
Actual Final Score
17
-
34
Incorrect Prediction
Community Sentiment
AI prediction: Philadelphia Eagles covers -10
(Wins by 10+ points)
Do you agree with this spread?
Confidence Levels
Win Confidence77%
Confidence in predicting the winner
Spread Confidence60%
Confidence in beating the spread
Total Confidence58%
Confidence in the over/under prediction
Predicted Total Points42
AI Analysis
Philadelphia’s superior red-zone performance and turnover security should translate into points against a Giants team struggling to protect the QB and generate explosive plays without key contributors. Divisional familiarity and the road setting may keep it from a blowout, but the Eagles’ efficiency edge points to a comfortable win.
Win confidence is strong (0.77) because multiple independent edges (turnovers, red-zone efficiency, recent form, defensive points allowed) align for Philadelphia despite being on the road. Spread confidence is moderate (0.60) due to divisional volatility on a prime-time short week and trench uncertainty with Landon Dickerson out and Jalen Carter questionable. Total confidence (0.58) is moderate: weather is clean and Philly finishes drives well, but the Giants’ inconsistent offense introduces variance in the overall scoring ceiling.
Key Factors
- •Turnover differential gap favors PHI by nine (Eagles +4 vs Giants -5), increasing expected extra possessions/short fields for the Eagles.
- •Massive red-zone edge: Eagles 100% TD rate vs Giants 63.16%, indicating Philly converts drives while New York settles more often.
- •QB efficiency disparity: Eagles 111.0 passer rating (62.9% comp) vs Giants 69.9 (62.6%); last-3 scoring splits 27.0 vs 14.7 ppg also favor PHI.
- •Giants injuries constrain offense: Darius Slayton (hamstring) out removes a vertical threat; Jermaine Eluemunor (questionable) jeopardizes protection for a unit with 14 sacks allowed; Swayze Bozeman (ankle) out; depth hit with Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles out.
- •Eagles defense allows fewer points (21.8 vs 25.4) and has more takeaways (5 vs 3), aligning with their ball-control/finishing advantages.
- •Momentum: Eagles have won four straight, while the Giants are 1-4 with only 14.7 ppg over the last three.
- •H2H trend: Eagles took the last two meetings (28-3 on 2024-10-20; 20-13 on 2025-01-05), suggesting matchup advantage persists.
Current Betting Lines
Line Movement
Spread:+0.5
Total:0.0
ML:0
| Sportsbook | Spread | Total | Moneyline | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | PHI -7.5(-113) | 42.5(-109/-112) | PHI -420 NYG +310 | 6d ago |
| BetOnline.ag | PHI -7(-115) | 42.5(-105/-115) | PHI NYG | 6d ago |
| betPARX | PHI -7.5(-113) | 42.5(-109/-112) | PHI -420 NYG +310 | 6d ago |
| BetRivers | PHI -7.5(-115) | 42.5(-112/-114) | PHI -420 NYG +275 | 6d ago |
| BetUS | PHI -7(-115) | 42.5(-110/-110) | PHI NYG | 6d ago |
| Bovada | PHI -7.5(-105) | 42(-115/-105) | PHI -400 NYG +300 | 6d ago |
| DraftKings | PHI -7(-115) | 42.5(-115/-105) | PHI -410 NYG +320 | 6d ago |
| FanDuel | PHI -7.5(-114) | 41.5(-115/-105) | PHI -430 NYG +340 | 6d ago |
| Fliff | PHI -7.5(-110) | 42.5(-110/-115) | PHI -490 NYG +330 | 6d ago |
| LowVig.ag | PHI -7(-110) | 42.5(-102/-113) | PHI NYG | 6d ago |
| MyBookie.ag | PHI -7.5(-110) | 43(-110/-110) | PHI -391 NYG +280 | 6d ago |
Game Information
Venue
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ
Outdoor Stadium
Weather Conditions
Conditions: Clear
Temperature: 54°F
Wind: 7 mph
Humidity: 29%