NFL • regular season 2025
SF
San Francisco 49ers
@
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
20
-
23
Los Angeles Rams win by 3
Confidence Levels
Win Confidence62%
Confidence in predicting the winner
Spread Confidence54%
Confidence in beating the spread
Total Confidence57%
Confidence in the over/under prediction
Predicted Total Points43
AI Analysis
Los Angeles pairs a cleaner turnover profile with superior yards per play and a more productive passing attack, while its defense is generating far more pressure and takeaways. With Purdy and multiple SF receivers banged up and the 49ers’ run game at just 3.32 YPA, the Rams’ home field and red-zone edge tilt a close, low-40s game their way.
Win confidence (0.62) reflects clear but not overwhelming edges for LAR in efficiency and turnover differential, tempered by SF’s strong third-down offense and recent H2H success. Spread confidence (0.54) is modest because both teams trend toward one-score finishes. Total confidence (0.57) is mid: stable indoor conditions and high red-zone rates suggest a low-to-mid 40s total, but turnover volatility could swing scoring.
Key Factors
- •Offensive efficiency edge: Rams 6.34 yards/play vs 49ers 5.66; Rams passing 8.13 YPA (7.38 net) vs SF 7.51 YPA (7.04 net).
- •Turnover profile favors LAR: +3 differential (4 giveaways) vs SF -5 (8 giveaways).
- •Havoc differential: Rams defense 14 sacks and 7 takeaways through 4 games vs 49ers 5 sacks and 3 takeaways.
- •Brock Purdy (toe) questionable on a short week; WRs Jauan Jennings (ankle/ribs) and Ricky Pearsall (knee) also questionable—potentially limiting SF’s passing depth.
- •Rams injuries (TE Tyler Higbee—hip; RT Rob Havenstein—questionable) are mitigated by SF’s modest sack output (5), reducing pass-protection risk.
- •Recent form: last-3 scoring—Rams 24.3 PF/20.3 PA vs 49ers 19.7 PF/16.3 PA—points to a slight LAR edge.
- •Both teams finish drives well (RZ TD: LAR 81.25%, SF 78.57%); indoor conditions remove weather variance, favoring the more efficient passing team.
- •Counterbalance: SF converts 48.1% on third down and won the last two meetings (12-6, 27-24), implying a one-score script.
Current Betting Lines
Line Movement
Spread:0.0
Total:+0.5
ML:-7
| Sportsbook | Spread | Total | Moneyline | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | SF +3(-112) | 47(-112/-109) | SF +133 LAR -162 | 4d ago |
| BetOnline.ag | SF +3(-105) | 47(-110/-110) | SF LAR | 4d ago |
| betPARX | SF +3(-112) | 47(-112/-109) | SF +133 LAR -162 | 4d ago |
| BetRivers | SF +3(-114) | 47(-114/-112) | SF +123 LAR -162 | 4d ago |
| BetUS | SF +3(-105) | 47(-110/-110) | SF LAR | 4d ago |
| Bovada | SF +3(-115) | 46.5(-110/-110) | SF +135 LAR -160 | 4d ago |
| DraftKings | SF +3(-110) | 46.5(-115/-105) | SF +130 LAR -155 | 4d ago |
| FanDuel | SF +3(-110) | 47.5(-105/-115) | SF +134 LAR -158 | 4d ago |
| Fliff | SF +2.5(105) | 47.5(-105/-120) | SF +130 LAR -165 | 4d ago |
| LowVig.ag | SF +3(100) | 47(-107/-107) | SF LAR | 4d ago |
| MyBookie.ag | SF +3(-110) | 46.5(-110/-110) | SF +128 LAR -165 | 4d ago |
Game Information
Venue
SoFi Stadium
Inglewood, CA
Indoor Stadium